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Time For Investors To Be concerned about Netflix Stock?

The FAANG team of mega cap stocks developed hefty returns for investors during 2020. The team, whose members include Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) benefited greatly from the COVID-19 pandemic as people sheltering into position used the devices of theirs to shop, work as well as entertain online.

During the previous year alone, Facebook gained 35 %, Amazon rose 78 %, Apple was up 86 %, Netflix discovered a 61 % boost, and Google’s parent Alphabet is actually up thirty two %. As we enter 2021, investors are actually wondering in case these tech titans, optimized for lockdown commerce, will bring similar or even better upside this season.

By this particular number of five stocks, we are analyzing Netflix today – a high-performer throughout the pandemic, it is today facing a unique competitive threat.

Stay-at-Home Appeal Diminishing?
Netflix has been one of the strongest equity performers of 2020. The business enterprise and its stock benefited from the stay-at-home atmosphere, spurring demand because of its streaming service. The stock surged about ninety % from the reduced it hit on March 16, until mid-October.

NFLX Weekly TTMNFLX Weekly TTM
Nonetheless, during the past three months, that rally has run out of steam, as the company’s main rival Disney (NYSE:DIS) received a great deal of ground of the streaming fight.

Within a year of its launch, the DIS’s streaming service, Disney+, today has greater than eighty million paid subscribers. That’s a tremendous jump from the 57.5 million it found to the summer quarter. That compares with Netflix’s 195 million subscribers as of September.

These successes by Disney+ came at the identical time Netflix has been reporting a slowdown in its subscriber growth. Netflix in October found it added 2.2 million subscribers in the third quarter on a net foundation, light of its forecast in July of 2.5 million brand new subscriptions for the period.

But Disney+ is not the only headache for Netflix. AT&T’s (NYSE:T) WarnerMedia division is in the midst of a similar restructuring as it concentrates on the new HBO Max of its streaming wedge. Also, Comcast’s (NASDAQ:CMCSA) NBCUniversal is actually realigning its entertainment operations to give priority to the new Peacock of its streaming service.

Negative Cash Flows
Apart from growing competition, the thing that makes Netflix a lot more vulnerable among the FAANG team is the company’s small money position. Because the service spends a great deal to develop its exclusive shows and capture international markets, it burns a great deal of cash each quarter.

In order to enhance its money position, Netflix raised prices for its most popular plan throughout the last quarter, the second time the company has done so in as many years. The action might possibly prove counterproductive in an atmosphere in which men and women are losing jobs as well as competition is heating up. In the past, Netflix price hikes have led to a slowdown in subscriber growth, especially in the more-mature U.S. market.

Benchmark analyst Matthew Harrigan last week raised very similar fears in the note of his, warning that subscriber development might slow in 2021:

“Netflix’s trading correlation with various other prominent NASDAQ 100  and FAAMG names has now clearly broken down as one) confidence in the streaming exceptionalism of its is fading somewhat even as 2) the stay-at-home trade could be “very 2020″ even with a little concern over how U.K. and South African virus mutations can impact Covid 19 vaccine efficacy.”

His 12-month price target for Netflix stock is $412, aproximatelly 20 % beneath its current level.

Bottom Line

Netflix’s stay-at-home appeal made it both one of the best mega hats as well as tech stocks in 2020. But as the competition heats up, the business enterprise must show that it continues to be the top streaming choice, and it is well-positioned to defend its turf.

Investors seem to be taking a rest from Netflix stock as they hold out to see if that can happen.

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